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Rare Rainbow2021Sword & Shield era

Karen's ConvictionChilling Reign 216/198 price & value

Karen's Conviction 216/198, Chilling Reign Pokémon card
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UltraBall Market ValueUngraded

$9.51

down −0.3%4 weeks · Steady

High confidence

High confidence

How closely the price sources agree, and how often the card trades.

  • 38 ungraded in the last 90 days, all conditions
  • 54 sales on record listed as near mint
  • Last sale Nov 10, 2026
How we calculate the UltraBall Market Value →
High liquidity86/100

High liquidity

Trades often, at prices that agree. It counts sales, not how long a listing takes to sell.

About 13 ungraded copies sell a month across all conditions, the pace of the last 90 days.

How we measure liquidity →

Near mint · UltraBall Market Value · 38 ungraded sales in the last 90 days, all conditions · as of Nov 12, 2026

Graded: PSA 9 $19.98PSA 10 $70.00

BuyoneBay (eBay US, opens in a new tab)eBay UK#adEstimate take-homeRecent sales

eBay links on this page are affiliate links: we earn a commission if you buy.

Prices updated Nov 12, 2026 · How we calculate the UltraBall Market Value

People ask about this card

What is Karen's Conviction 216/198 worth raw, in PSA 9 and in PSA 10?
As of Nov 12, 2026, Karen's Conviction 216/198 is about $9.51 ungraded near mint (38 sales in 90 days); PSA 9 about $19.98 (4 sales); PSA 10 about $70.00 (10 sales). Every grade’s price.
Why do two copies of Karen's Conviction 216/198 differ in price?
As of Nov 12, 2026, there is one printing of Karen's Conviction 216/198, so the gap is condition: near mint is $9.51. Too few played copies have sold to price each condition on its own. Recent sales.
Price history

Karen's Conviction 216/198 price over time

Nov 11Feb 11May 13Aug 13Nov 12
  • Recorded prices, joined day to day

Ungraded, 1 year: $7.69 on Nov 11, 2025, $9.51 on Nov 12, 2026. Lowest $7.59, highest $11.48.

Now
$9.51
4 weeks
−0.3%
90 days
−14%
1 year
+22%
Highest, 1Y
$11.48
Lowest, 1Y
$7.59

Recorded history starts June 2021. Earlier history is monthly averages; from July 22, 2026 the line is a smoothed 7-day average of daily prices, so single-day swings don’t show. Between recorded prices, the line and its daily values are estimated from the prices either side.

Karen's Conviction 216/198 price by month

Ungraded, at the end of each month, newest first: the line above read off at each month’s last day. The latest month ends on today’s UltraBall Market Value.

MonthUngradedChange on month
November 2026to Nov 12, 2026$9.51up +2.8%
October 2026$9.25down −7.3%
September 2026$9.98down −12%
August 2026$11.29up +3.2%
July 2026$10.94–
May 2026$10.26up +14%
April 2026$8.97up +1.3%
March 2026$8.85up +17%
February 2026$7.59down −3.6%
January 2026$7.87down −0.5%
December 2025$7.91up +2.8%
November 2025$7.69down −18%
Matched to this exact card

Recent verified sales

Latest 25
  • RawPokemon Company Karen's Conviction 216/198 Secret Full Art Holo ENGNov 10, 2026 · eBay · Condition not stated · View listing · $12.00
  • RawThe Pokémon Company Karen's Conviction 216/198 CR Secret Rare FA Holo EngOffers taken · asking price shownNov 10, 2026 · eBay · Condition not stated · Offers taken · View listing · Asking price, up to $1.99asking
  • RawPokémon Swsh06: Chilling Reign #216/198 Karen's Conviction Rainbow Full Art💎Nov 10, 2026 · eBay · Condition not stated · View listing · $12.99
  • RawKaren's Conviction 216/198 Rainbow Rare Chilling Reign Pokemon Holo NM IshikawaNov 9, 2026 · eBay · Sold as near mint · Offers taken (asking price; paid may be lower) · View listing · Asking price, up to $7.97asking
  • RawKaren's Conviction - 216/198 - Pokemon Chilling Reign Sword & Shield Secret NMNov 7, 2026 · eBay · Sold as near mint · View listing · $11.53
  • RawKaren's Conviction (Secret) Secret Rare SWSH06: Chilling Reign 216/198 NMNov 5, 2026 · eBay · Sold as near mint · Offers taken (asking price; paid may be lower) · View listing · Asking price, up to $10.00asking
  • RawKaren's Conviction 216/198 Secret Rare Full Art Foil Pokémon TCG EnglishNov 3, 2026 · eBay · Sold as near mint · Offers taken (asking price; paid may be lower) · View listing · Asking price, up to $8.72asking
  • CGC 10Pokemon Karen's Conviction Chilling Reign Rainbow Rare Card 216/198 TCG CGC 10Nov 3, 2026 · eBay · Best offer accepted (asked $46.92) · View listing · $26.25
  • RawThe Pokemon Company Karen's Conviction 216/198 Chilling Reign Secret Holo FANov 2, 2026 · eBay · Sold as near mint · Auction · View listing · $5.50
  • PSA 7Karen's Conviction 216/198 Secret Rainbow Rare Chilling Reign Pokemon PSA 7Oct 31, 2026 · eBay · Auction · View listing · $19.95
  • PSA 9Karen's Conviction 216/198 Secret Chilling Reign Pokemon PSA 9Sep 11, 2026 · eBay · Auction · View listing · $22.95
  • PSA 10Pokemon Karens Conviction Rainbow Rare - Chilling Reign - 216/198 - PSA 10Sep 9, 2026 · eBay · Best offer accepted (asked $122) · View listing · $70.00
  • PSA 10PSA 10 Karen’s Conviction #216Sep 7, 2026 · eBay · Buy It Now · View listing · $80.00
  • CGC 10 PristinePokémon TCG Karen's Conviction 216/198 Chilling Reign CGC Pristine 10Sep 6, 2026 · eBay · Auction · View listing · $36.55
  • CGC 102021 Pokemon Chilling Reign FA Karen's Conviction #216 CGC 10 Rainbow psa bgsAug 4, 2026 · eBay · Buy It Now · View listing · $34.99
  • PSA 10Karen's Conviction (Secret) 216/198 Sword & Shield Chilling Reign PSA 10 EnglishJul 13, 2026 · eBay · View listing · $79.99
  • PSA 10Pokemon Karen's Conviction Chilling Reign 216/198 Secret Rare PSA 10Jul 12, 2026 · eBay · View listing · $58.82
  • PSA 10Karen's Conviction (Secret) 216/198 Swsh06: Sword & Shield - Chilling PSA 10Jun 10, 2026 · eBay · View listing · $69.99
  • PSA 10Karen's Conviction (Secret) 216/198 Swsh06: Sword & Shield - Chilling PSA 10🌟Jun 8, 2026 · eBay · View listing · $85.00
  • PSA 10PSA 10 2021 Pokemon SWSH FA/ Karen’s Conviction Chilling Reign - Secret #216Jun 7, 2026 · eBay · View listing · $189
  • PSA 9Pokemon Karen's Conviction Chilling Reign Secret Rare #216 PSA 9 MintJun 7, 2026 · eBay · View listing · $17.01
  • PSA 10PSA 10 Karen’s Conviction 216/198 Full Art Rainbow Chilling Reign Pokemon CardMay 12, 2026 · eBay · View listing · $64.99
  • PSA 9Karen’s Conviction PSA 9 Chilling Reign 216 Pokémon Card MintFeb 18, 2026 · eBay · Buy It Now · View listing · $29.99
Every sale here was matched to this exact card: the right number, set, printing and language, one card per listing, raw kept apart from graded. Where a venue sells by card and gives no listing title to check, the row says the venue named the card. Listings we can’t be sure of are left out. A price marked ≤ is an asking price, not a confirmed sale. On an accepted best offer we show what the buyer paid, not the asking price; where that isn’t on record the asking price is shown as a ceiling and never counts towards the price. A sale marked unusual is far from that grade’s market price: it stays on the record, and is left out of this page’s latest-sale and comparison figures. Sales record updated Nov 11, 2026.

Graded values

Karen's Conviction 216/198 price by grade

Karen's Conviction 216/198: market price, 4-week change, sales pace and last sale by grade
GradeMarket value4 wkSales/mo
UngradedHigh. How closely the price sources agree, and how often the card trades.$9.51Last $12.00 · Nov 10, 2026down −0.3%13High liquidity. High
PSA 107.4× rawHigh. Many recent comparable sales that agree closely.$70.00Last $70.00 · Sep 9, 20260.0%0.7Low liquidity. Low
PSA 92.1× rawMedium. Some recent sales, or sales that vary more than usual.$19.98Last $22.95 · Sep 11, 2026up +18%0.3Low liquidity. Low
PSA 8Low. Few recent sales in this condition. Treat the figure as a rough guide.$10.72Last $19.99 · Mar 28, 20260.0%No recent sales
PSA 7Low. Few recent sales in this condition. Treat the figure as a rough guide.$9.99Last $19.95 · Oct 31, 20260.0%0.3Medium liquidity. Medium
CGC 102.6× rawLow. Few recent sales in this condition. Treat the figure as a rough guide.$24.49Last $26.25 · Nov 3, 2026–0.3Medium liquidity. Medium
BGS 9.54.4× rawLow. Few recent sales in this condition. Treat the figure as a rough guide.$42.00–No recent sales
SGC 10Low. Few recent sales in this condition. Treat the figure as a rough guide.$12.03–No recent sales
TAG 104.4× rawLow. Few recent sales in this condition. Treat the figure as a rough guide.$41.46–No recent sales

Each graded row counts only that grade's sales; the ungraded row counts every condition. Sales a month is the 90-day pace. Last sale is the latest verified sale, never an asking price. How we calculate the UltraBall Market Value

If it gets a PSA 10
−$32.61
If it gets a PSA 9
−$76.01
PSA fee for a PSA 10
$59.99 Standard
Slab sale price to break even
$108at Standard, $59.99
Grading pays, at today’s prices
No priced grade
Historical PSA 10 rate
52%

Against selling raw at $9.51, after the PSA fee for what the slab is worth (a 10 goes in at Standard, $59.99; a 9 at the same level), $25.00 shipping and insurance, and eBay US selling fees, as the selling calculator works them out, with its usual $5 postage and $1 packing on each sale: the same sum as the selling calculator. Each grade is charged the fee level its own slab price needs, so the break-even price carries the fee for a slab at that price, not the PSA 10 fee. These are outcomes if the card gets each grade, not the chance that it will. PSA has graded 347 copies; 180 got a 10.

Population

PSA graded
347
PSA 10
180
PSA 9
126
Historical PSA 10 rate
52%
PSA 10s of all graded

A higher historical PSA 10 rate than 45% of the Chilling Reign cards PSA has graded enough of.

GraderGraded10s9s10s share
PSA34718012652%
CGC161883955%
BGS1002–
SGC1450–

PSA’s count of Nov 10, 2026. CGC, BGS and SGC as of Nov 10, 2026; their 10s include Pristine, Perfect and Black Label 10s. PSA counts the cards it has graded, not every copy that exists. Compare with the low pop cards and the hardest PSA 10s.

PSA 10 price against PSA’s population

The same 11 weeks, Jul 24, 2026 to Sep 28, 2026: the price on the day of each weekly PSA report, and the report’s counts. Side by side, not cause and effect.

40506070Jul 24, 2026Aug 24, 2026Sep 28, 202670.0
342344346Jul 24, 2026Aug 24, 2026Sep 28, 2026347

Left: PSA 10 price, US$. Right: PSA graded copies.

About

About this card

Karen's Conviction is card 216 of 198 in the Chilling Reign price guide, a set released in June 2021 during the Sword & Shield era. Its number runs past the set’s printed 198, which marks it as a secret rare. The artwork is by Hideki Ishikawa. In the checklist it sits after Flannery 215/198 and before Klara 217/198.

It is the 36th most valuable of the 233 priced cards in Chilling Reign, behind Blaziken VMAX 201/198 (see the most valuable Chilling Reign cards).

What the data says

The ungraded value has held within 10% over four weeks (−0.3% on 7-day averages), on 38 ungraded sales in 90 days.

A PSA 10 is valued at 7.4× the ungraded price ($70.00 against $9.51), and a PSA 9 at $19.98.

PSA has graded 347 copies, 180 of them PSA 10 (52%). That describes the copies sent in, not the chance a given card grades 10.

From prices of Nov 12, 2026 and sales to Nov 10, 2026. Observations, not advice or a forecast. How we read the market

4 weeks
−0.3%ungraded, between 7-day averages
90 days
−14%ungraded, between 7-day averages
1 year
+22%ungraded; before Jul 22, 2026 from monthly averages
Direction
Steadywithin 10% of four weeks ago, on 7-day averages
High since daily tracking
18% under$11.40 on Aug 30, 2026, 7-day average; daily prices since Jul 22, 2026
Liquidity
High12.7 ungraded sales a month over 90 days
Price confidence
High confidenceMany recent comparable sales that agree closely.
Ungraded sold
18in 30 days; 38 in 90
PSA 10 premium
7.4×the ungraded price; the typical Chilling Reign card with a PSA 10 price: 5.2×
PSA 10 population
180of 347 PSA graded, count of Nov 10, 2026

No money needed: buy it with virtual UltraCash in the fantasy game, or call today’s card.

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Cite this price

Karen's Conviction 216/198 (Chilling Reign) is worth $9.51 ungraded as of Nov 12, 2026, according to UltraBall's Market Value (https://ultraball.com/cards/chilling-reign/karens-conviction-216).

Citation
Karen's Conviction 216/198 (Chilling Reign) is worth $9.51 ungraded as of Nov 12, 2026, according to UltraBall's Market Value (https://ultraball.com/cards/chilling-reign/karens-conviction-216).
Link
https://ultraball.com/cards/chilling-reign/karens-conviction-216
HTML
<a href="https://ultraball.com/cards/chilling-reign/karens-conviction-216">Karen's Conviction 216/198 (Chilling Reign) price: $9.51 on UltraBall</a>
Next in the binder

Nearby in Chilling Reign

Full checklist
Chilling Reign

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Full ranking
Same illustrator

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Sword & Shield era

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FAQ

Questions collectors ask

As of Nov 12, 2026, Karen's Conviction 216/198 Chilling Reign is worth about $9.51 ungraded. A PSA 10 copy is worth about $70.00. How we price cards.