Modern Pokémon Card Index Falls 1.8% as Live eBay Listings Climb 10.7% in a Week

A broad but mostly modest dip

Every UltraBall index finished the week of 19 to 25 October lower. The sharpest fall came in Modern, down 1.8% to 85.8, while Vintage gave up 1.4% to close at 105.9. The gap between the two moves was 0.4 percentage points, so neither era clearly outperformed.

The headline UltraBall 100 eased 0.4% to 97.4. That is a small move and should be read as one. The PSA 10 index matched it, also down 0.4% to 100.1, while the Raw index fell 1.0% to 91.7.

The data shows the declines happening alongside a rise in live listings, but it cannot say why prices softened. More supply on the shelf is one context worth noting, not a proven cause.

SlowkingSouthern Islands · 14/18Raw$500PSA 9$4,840PSA 10$74,23074 sales in 30 days4 weeks ▲ up +0.3%

Maushold30th Celebration · 146/128Raw$11.00PSA 9–PSA 10–673 sales in 30 days4 weeks ▼ down −19%

Sales activity and supply

UltraBall verified 82,584 eBay US sales this week across 6,949 different cards, with $10.5 million in value where the price paid was known. Graded cards accounted for 18,424 of those sales, a 22.3% share, and auctions made up 21.2% of sales.

The ledger collected on 6 days of the week rather than the full seven, so these counts cover only those days and are not compared with last week.

Supply is a separate measure. Live eBay listings matched to a card stood at 251,717 at the week's close, up 10.7% over the week. For collectors, a deeper pool of listings generally means more choice and more sold comps to price against.

Top sales: WOTC-era promos and e-Card holos

The week's most expensive verified eBay sale was a PSA 10 Slowking (Southern Islands 14/18) at $70,080 on 20 October. Southern Islands is a small WOTC-era promo set, and Gem Mint copies of its cards are a long-standing chase for vintage collectors.

Call of Legends Rayquaza SL10, the Shiny Legend from the 2011 set, sold twice in PSA 9: $56,139.75 on 24 October and $55,500 on 19 October. A BGS 8 Rayquaza ☆ (Deoxys 107/107) made $55,555.55.

The e-Card era featured strongly. A PSA 9 Skyridge Charizard 146/144 sold for $55,000 and another for $41,900, and a PSA 10 Aquapolis Espeon H9 also made $55,000. Gold Star cards rounded out the list, with a PSA 9 Holon Phantoms Pikachu ☆ at $45,700 and a PSA 9 Team Rocket Returns Mudkip ☆ at $45,044. A PSA 10 Charizard (Dragon 100/97) sold for $40,100.

30th Celebration dominates volume

The most traded card was Maushold (30th Celebration 146/128) with 268 sales, only 4 of them graded, at a median raw price of $10.49. The whole top ten came from 30th Celebration and its Classic Collection subset.

Zapdos (133/128) and Sylveon ex (153/128) each logged 258 sales, at median raw prices of $5.99 and $40.12. Mewtwo ex (151/128) recorded 255 sales with 26 graded, at a $50 median raw. The Classic Collection Lugia 149/30 stood out for grading activity, with 42 of its 249 sales graded and a median raw price of $217.50.

Auctions, Buy It Now and the PSA 10 multiple

Format still matters. The median auction sale cleared at 84.5% of UltraBall's price for the copy, while the median Buy It Now sale landed at 100.0%. Auction buyers in UltraBall's tracked sales continue to pay less than fixed-price buyers for comparable copies.

The PSA 10 median multiple over ungraded closed at 17.5×, barely changed from 17.4× a week earlier. The gap between Gem Mint slabs and raw copies held steady even as both the PSA 10 and Raw indexes declined.

Outside eBay, record-book sales across all marketplaces were led by a PSA 10 Rayquaza (Dragons Exalted 128/124) and a PSA 10 1st Edition Misdreavus (Neo Revelation 11/64), each at $240,000 on Fanatics Collect. The top eBay record was a PSA 10 1st Edition Pichu (Neo Genesis 12/111) at $105,100.