3,500 packs measured · Rates checked Oct 4, 2026 · Prices Nov 12, 2026
Perfect Order pull rates
About 1 in 3 Perfect Order booster packs holds a card rarer than a Rare. The commonest hit is a Double Rare at about 1 in 5 packs; the rarest, a Mega Hyper Rare, is about 1 in 1,670. At today’s prices an average pack holds $2.78 of cards against a shop price of $4.49.
Perfect Order odds by rarity
Per booster pack, and per booster box of 36 packs.
| Rarity | Per pack | Chance in a pack | Average per box | At least one in a box |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 1 in 5 | 21% | 7.5 | Over 99% |
| Illustration Rare | 1 in 9 | 11% | 4.0 | 99% |
| Ultra Rare | 1 in 12 | 8.5% | 3.1 | 96% |
| Special Illustration Rare | 1 in 80 | 1.2% | 0.4 | 36% |
| Mega Hyper Rare | 1 in 1,670 | 0.06% | 0.0 | 2.1% |
Odds of pulling the top Perfect Order chase cards
One named card, not just its rarity: cards of a rarity come up equally often, so each takes an even share of its rarity’s rate. Ranked by ungraded price, as on the chase cards page. “In packs” is what the packs you would expect to open for one copy cost at the $4.49 shop price; all 10 cost less bought as a single at today’s ungraded price.
- 1
Mega Zygarde ex
124/88 · Mega Hyper Rare · $100
- Per pack
- 1 in 1,670
- In a box
- 2.1%
- In packs
- $7,483
- 2
Meowth ex
121/88 · Special Illustration Rare · $88.00
- Per pack
- 1 in 490
- In a box
- 7.1%
- In packs
- $2,190
- 3
Rosa's Encouragement
123/88 · Special Illustration Rare · $45.00
- Per pack
- 1 in 490
- In a box
- 7.1%
- In packs
- $2,190
- 4
Mega Zygarde ex
120/88 · Special Illustration Rare · $42.70
- Per pack
- 1 in 490
- In a box
- 7.1%
- In packs
- $2,190
- 5
Mega Clefable ex
119/88 · Special Illustration Rare · $39.70
- Per pack
- 1 in 490
- In a box
- 7.1%
- In packs
- $2,190
- 6
Mega Starmie ex
118/88 · Special Illustration Rare · $31.70
- Per pack
- 1 in 490
- In a box
- 7.1%
- In packs
- $2,190
- 7
Jacinthe
122/88 · Special Illustration Rare · $22.10
- Per pack
- 1 in 490
- In a box
- 7.1%
- In packs
- $2,190
- 8
Clefairy
94/88 · Illustration Rare · $15.00
- Per pack
- 1 in 100
- In a box
- 31%
- In packs
- $441
- 9
Meowth ex
107/88 · Ultra Rare · $12.40
- Per pack
- 1 in 210
- In a box
- 16%
- In packs
- $946
- 10
Poké Pad
113/88 · Ultra Rare · $9.54
- Per pack
- 1 in 210
- In a box
- 16%
- In packs
- $946
Is a Perfect Order pack worth opening?
- Average pack holds
- $2.78
- Typical pack holds
- $1.59
- Shop price
- $4.49
- Returned in cards
- 62%
- Packs worth $4.49+
- 7.3%
Every card’s chance of turning up, from the rates above, times its ungraded price today, added across the pack. On average a pack gives back 62% of what it costs; most of an average pack’s value sits in the few rare pulls, so most packs are worth less and a few far more: of 20,000 simulated packs the typical (median) one held $1.59, and 7.3% were worth $4.49 or more. An average box of 36 holds $100.08. Ordinary reverse holos are counted at the card’s ordinary price. All figures are in US dollars. The shop price is the official store’s list price (Pokémon Center (US): Booster Bundle (6 Packs) at $26.94, $4.49 a pack, read Oct 21, 2026); on the sealed market a pack often costs more while a set is sold out.
Where these rates come from
TCGplayer Authentication Center, “Pokémon TCG: Perfect Order Pull Rates”, from at least 3,500 opened packs. We last checked the figures on Oct 4, 2026. The per-pack odds count every slot a rarity can fill; a box’s are those of 36 packs opened one after another. Real boxes are packed to a pattern, so one box can come out better or worse than these odds say. We publish rates only for sets with a measured, named source, and never estimate one.
